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What I want to do here is something a little different and look at some of the more political consequences of these latest revelations.
The first two of the five stages of grief: This is absolutely normal and will not last too long.
However, it is worth looking into why exactly these revelations triggered such a powerful reaction as things are a little more complicated than might first appear.
First, a stunning revelation of sorts: Yes, it is true that the US nuclear arsenal is becoming increasingly antiquated, especially when compared with the Russian one and, yes, it is true that in an entire family of technologies the Russians are now clearly many years ahead of the USA.
But no, this does not mean that Russia could get away with a first strike against the USA neither could, for that matter, the USA could get away with a first strike against Russia.
First and foremost, his speech was a much-needed case of public psychotherapy. You could say that his intention was to force the Empire to eventually enter the next, more constructive, three stages of grief: Bringing a sense of reality to a deeply delusional Empire The leaders of the Empire, along with their brainwashed ideological droneslive in a world completely detached from reality.
American power elites, the majority of whom have never served a day in uniform nor ever attended serious military academic institutions and whose expertise on serious military-technological and geopolitical issues is limited to a couple of seminars on nuclear weapons and, in the best case scenario, the efforts of the Congressional Research Service are simply not qualified to grasp the complexity, the nature, and application of military force.
They simply have no reference points.
The fact that some many? US politicians realized, at least in the back of their minds, that their ABM systems would never truly protect the USA from a Russian counter-strike did not really matter because there were some uniquely US American psychological factors which made the notion of an ABM system irresistibly attractive: Frankly, I suspect that many most?
The various variations of the ABM fairy tale make it possible for US Americans to believe that the next war would be mostly fought by pressing buttons and relying on computers. Add to this a quasi-religious belief a dogma, really in the myth of American technological superiority and you understand that the Russian leaders began to realize that their US counterparts were gradually forgetting that they did have a bulls-eye painted on their backs.
So what Putin did is simply paint a few more, different ones, just to make sure that US leaders come back to reality. The Russian message to the US ruling elites was simple: To the warmongers at the Pentagon, the message was equally clear and tough: Simply put, you fight with dollars, we will fight with brains.
US propagandists, who love to speak about how Russia always uses huge numbers of unskilled soldiers and dumb but brutal weapons now have to deal with a paradigm which they are completely unfamiliar with: Nothing will change in the Empire of Illusions at least for the foreseeable future Speaking of bankruptcy.
The recent revelations have confirmed what the Russians have been warning about for years: Russia did find and deploy an asymmetrical response which makes the entire US ABM program completely useless and obsolete. Furthermore, as Martyanov also points out, the current force structure of the US surface fleet has also been made basically obsolete and useless, at least against Russia but you can be sure that China is following close behind.
Potentially, this state of affairs should have immense, tectonic repercussions: But, of course, absolutely nothing of this, nothing at all, will happen. In fact, I predict that the now self-evidently useless ABM program will proceed as if nothing had happened. And, in a way, that is true.
In fact, since the USA is now run by Neocons, we can very easily predict what they will do. They will do what Neocons always do: Also, keep in mind that the smart folks in the USN, and there are plenty of those, knew what was going on all along, but they either had no influence or kept their silence for obvious career reasons.
So, for the foreseeable future, expect the collective denial to continue. No matter how US propagandists have tried to spin it, deny it, obfuscate it or dismiss it, something very fundamental has changed for the United States.
Indeed, for the first time in history, the United States is now targeted by powerful conventional weapons which can reach any target inside the United States.
Not only that but unlike the bad old ICBMs, the launches of the weapons systems, which can now strike anywhere in the United States, the cruise missiles, are extremely hard to detect and can give the US little or no warning time.
Vladimir Putin has now announced that Russia also has nuclear-powered cruise missiles whose range is essentially infinite. Keep in mind that these missiles are very hard to detect since their launch does not generate a strong thermal signal, they fly most of their trajectory at subsonic speeds only accelerating at the endtheir thermal signature is therefore very low, their shape results a very low radar cross-section and they can fly very low nap of the earth flight courses which further conceals them.
Best of all, however, is that they can be launched from what externally appears to be a regular commercial container. Please take a look at this short propaganda video showing how such missiles could be concealed, deployed and used: What Putin has now officially added to this arsenal are cruise missiles with an infinite range which could, in theory, destroy a command post in, say, the US Midwest, while being fired from the southern Indian Ocean or from the Tasman Sea.
Even better, the launching platform does not need to be a Russian Navy ship at all but could be any commercial cargo, fishing, etc.[This analysis was written for the Unz Review] For those interested in the military implications of the recent revelations by Vladimir Putin about new Russian weapon systems I would recommend the excellent article entitled “The Implications of Russia’s New Weapon Systems” by Andrei Martyanov who offers a superb analysis of what .
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Contribute to . After being taken down twice by Blogger within a single week, we got the message: It’s Time To Go. Gates of Vienna has moved to a new address. The Obama Doctrine.
The U.S. president talks through his hardest decisions about America’s role in the world.